A BBC Radio 4 programme examines why experts often get predictions wrong - and meets the people who get them right While accepting the Nobel prize for economics, Friedrich Hayek made an astonishing admission. Not only were economists unsure about their predictions, he noted, but their tendency to present their findings with the certainty of the language of science was misleading and "may have deplorable effects". This revelation, made about 40 years ago, is a crucial one and yet it has been larg...
A BBC Radio 4 programme examines why experts often get predictions wrong - and meets the people who get them right While accepting the Nobel prize for economics, Friedrich Hayek made an astonishing admission. Not only were economists unsure about their predictions, he noted, but their tendency to present their findings with the certainty of the language of science was misleading and "may have deplorable effects". This revelation, made about 40 years ago, is a crucial one and yet it has been larg...
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